Estimating Complexity

Here’s a scale that I’ve seen Liz Keogh use in a couple of talks about Cynefin and the impact it has on deciding if estimation is worthwhile or even possible in your current situation. I find establishing where we are on this scale to be enormously helpful before going into an estimation meeting (or maybe using as justification for canceling a meeting).

  1. Nobody has ever done it before.
  2. Someone outside the organization has done it before (probably a competitor).
  3. Someone in our organization has done it before.
  4. Someone in the team has done it before.
  5. We all know how to do it.